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I spend 3 hours building spreadsheets on the House races county by county. Several were too difficult to be practical but I modelled most of them (and will keep the file for next time, this time). I am working from NBC data. There are a lot of races that I think they haven't called just...

Those jerks. So I already delineated my fallback position above. These are people that you see overwhelmingly voting for Biden, so you think they are progressives, but this situation demonstrates something else. They are people whose by-far-most important issue is how the President treats...

His attorneys had already acknowledged that a lot of the stuff in the indictment was not official duties. The indictment was refreshed with almost everything intact and was going forward. He will squelch that one, but he'll be guilty again by the time he leaves office.

So Biden should say tomorrow that he rounded up and deported all the ones that came during his administration and only the ones that came during Trump's term are left.

If you want a silver lining, he can only stop the investigations of his past crimes and if you know know Donald Trump like I do, you know he is going to keep doing crimes.

He will have a small majority in the Senate and we don't know yet on the House, but likely close to the same. I don't think he can control this House well enough to pass a lot of legislation and ACA is difficult. It's been the law a long time now. A lot of constituents like it. No. This is...

It is just where things get complicated. There is always a temptation toward thinking we can look at who someone votes for and tell who they are, but it just isn't the truth. It is much more reliable to look who they are (lots more than 2 kinds of people) and figure out who they would vote...

He actually went to court to get it removed and was denied because it was too late. They have to print those things up.

Yeah. As I already said, I am certain that Trump won't even try. It's just an interesting historical parallel.

Republicans are going to be saying that sexism isn't why they voted for Trump as if sexism wasn't one of the reasons they voted for him over Biden too.

Louis Napoleon, nephew of Napoleon Bonaparte, rallied some men in 1836 and attempted to take over the government of France. He was arrested and exiled and kept getting more popular afterward. He just came back in 1840 and tried again. They arrested him and put him in prison. He disguised...

I've written at length on the subject on this forum. Trump was the dad-gum President of the United States for 4 years and he barely used his power because he doesn't care about power. He only cares about status. He stirred out of bed at 9 or 10, got on his big boy pants and went to the Oval...

No When I left home this morning it looked like last night and I was poised to sit down at my desk at work and start building spreadsheets to see what percentages of uncounted votes Kamala was needing in MI, PA, and WI. But when I got to my desk those states were reporting pretty much all...

I stayed up way too late last night and I'm glad I didn't stay up later. Nothing changed while I was asleep.

Comeuppance is such a funny word. I wanted comeuppance for Trump and he wanted it for himself. It is looking right now like he's gonna get the kind he wanted. I'm going to bed soon. It isn't impossible for her to come back, but right now Trump is the smart money. I have been in your...

Six?

I did my 5th Grade Presidential report on George HW Bush, who had just been elected and it was likely at that time that I took the impression that the VP being elected to continue after the President finishes was normal. It is actually fairly unusual. 1/3 of our Presidents were Vice President...

I may have counted North Carolina out too soon. For what it's worth, the governor of North Carolina thinks Kamala will win the state. If she does, she can win with Nevada and without Pennsylvania. Edit - An of course that weird Iowa poll over the weekend may not have been crazy. It could be...

NBC nationwide exit polling: 73% answered that Democracy is threatened. I understand that the GOP can use that talking point too, but I think it is much more used by Democrats.

Last word I see is that NV and PA are polling 50-50. It doesn't matter who wins NV. Unless there are unexpected upsets (sometimes it happens), Pennsylvania decides.