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There certainly can't be any legislation or policy change right now that decreases Trump's protection in any way. Only two attempts in this century and they are both him this summer. I was trying to think what you'd write when there IS a climate to do and I think Rhinox is on the right track...

Unless it has changed, the secret service have to buy memberships at Mar-a-Lago so the they can protect him there.

The middle paragraph is cheeky! An easy defense for his campaign, though, is that Trump DID fit 2 debates into his schedule.

I think he has the money they know how to use in the campaign accounts and especially if he is going to lose, he doesn't want another dollar in that account if it could be in his own account instead.

I wish I was a high level employee of the secret service ready to retire. If I was, I would go to testify to Congress about the second attempt and say "We just need to accept that Presidential assassinations are just a fact of life now"

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model Here is where the original 538 guy is now.

I found what 538 had in 2016. They got surprised like everyone else that time. Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Florida. And I also just saw that the guy behind 538 left last year and took his model with him. Disney owns it now. So.....

I wasn't paying much attention that year because it seemed a foregone conclusion that Hillary was winning. I don't know what this group said. I have watched since then and they've been very accurate. For several months leading up to 2020, they said Biden was winning while the media fretted and...

He carries on and on, but just to summarize if Trump doesn't win Jews will carry a blood guilt. And if I saw correctly yesterday, this wasn't just a Jewish Group. It was an Anti-Anti-Semitism event.

This could definitely make him not that.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/department-of-education-shut-down-trump/index.html Trump now says he wants to shut down the Department of Education. If I am advising Trump, I tell him not to spout anything on the Project2025 list between now and election day. I also advise him, not to...

Wonko has been consistently adamant that Trump cannot win, even in the post immediately preceding yours, and the math is starting to lean pretty convincingly on his side. If you want to talk to someone about what will happen after Trump wins, Wonko probably isn't your guy.

It still might.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ Their models give Harris at least a slight edge in all 7 toss-up states. Squeakers in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. Significant edge in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, which is a win.

So did you read what I wrote or... I knew the job description of the Vice President, but it doesn't tell us anything. I didn't know that you could look up her meeting calendar online. I knew that at least some of it could be gleaned from public sources, but it doesn't tell us anything. To...

I think you didn't mean to be silly. But I'm going to take some exception, because it feels like you are making fun of me when you are actually being silly. But the first link you provided says "preside", "break ties" and "count electoral votes". They "advise the President" and "occupy an...

The Vice Presidency is a political shell game that both sides are trying to win. The ideal for Harris is that Democrats believe she has been integral and active in everything the Biden administration has done and that Republicans believe she's been biding her time and learning how the system...

But don't you know that sometimes lying is the only way to tell the truth?

I wouldn't say the audience went crazy exactly, but we probably all got a little dumber.

How does it work?