Nobody has the intention to invade Ukraine

[Dekafox]

Knightsbridge Research, Ltd. (@[email protected])

Attached: 1 image Analysis: Russia Close to Re-taking Kursk Oblast Territory Russia appears to have re-taken almost all of the area in Kursk that Ukrainian forces had captured last year, according to multiple assessments and geolocated footage. Ukrainian forces have avoided encirclement...

infosec.exchange

Analysis: Russia Close to Re-taking Kursk Oblast Territory

Russia appears to have re-taken almost all of the area in Kursk that Ukrainian forces had captured last year, according to multiple assessments and geolocated footage. Ukrainian forces have avoided encirclement, instead prioritizing withdrawals from areas with the heaviest fighting. Drone attacks from both sides have been heavy.

Several villages near the Ukrainian border have been re-taken by Russian forces. These areas have seen a higher concentration of Russian troops than most others, indicating that Russia may either push into Ukraine after the Kursk Oblast is secured or intends to maintain a stronger border security force after Ukrainian forces are fully expelled.

The odds appear high that Ukraine no longer has a foothold in Russia in the coming weeks. The calculus will now shift to whether or not Ukraine can gain strategic advantages by pushing into another region of Russia. This could certainly happen as Ukraine intended to use the Kursk incursion as a bargaining chip with Russia in the coming months. Without that particular negotiating ability, Kyiv’s position is weakened.

 

[Pocket]

Hey remember when Russia was getting curb-stomped even without our help and we thought this was going to end quickly?

 

[Dekafox]

Also seeing word that Putin has proposed a 30-day ceasefire, provided any arms-shipments and intel-sharing with Uktraine stops during that period. Seems reasonable at first blush, until you realize that Russia doesn't depend on external arms like Ukraine has been forced to, so this will let them re-arm while Ukraine can only consolidate. It's purely a benefit to the Russian side of things, not a compromise. Also if the Europeans don't agree(as they probably shouldn't to those terms), Putin can use that as a pretext on the world stage to try and make it look like Ukraine are the aggressors, and give Trump plenty of reason he can use to try to back out and appear reasonable to people who aren't paying attention to all the details.

Also saw this from Zelensky:

 

[Pocket]

The contrast between Ukraine's actual president being duped by Trump's offer and Dekafox seeing right through it is staggering. It's one thing to believe that every single one of us is better qualified to run the US than Trump, but I kinda still had more faith in other world leaders...

 

[G.B.Blackrock]

Honestly, I see this less as Zelenskyy being duped, and more that he has to keep up appearances, having little other option.