Going back to Transformers, as I said, Hasbro two highest profile series in the past 15 years (Prime and Earthspark) offered compellingly strong visuals that TFOne had a hard time distinguishing itself from.
I'm not sure "I donno guys, Prime and Earthspark were just TOO GOOD and that's why TFO failed" is a compelling argument. Prime ended eleven years prior to TFO being released. I don't think it affected anyone's decision to see or not see the film one iota.
And while I'm sure you did see a lot of TFO ads, you seem to be an exception rather than the rule. I saw the occasional tv spot, but Wild Robot lapped it based on what I observed, accounting for tv ads, online ads, and pre-movie trailers for other films. And judging from others' experiences in just this thread.... I don't think I'm alone in thinking that TFO's marketing left something to be desired.
The first trailer offered a “pedestrian” animated film impression, granted...
It looked like an animated film full of MCU-levels of humour, at a time when the MCU's formulaic approach to franchise projects is coming under increased scrutiny.
I'd say TFO's failings were....
1- marketing. The first trailer didn't do the actual movie justice, and later trailers, while better, didn't get enough penetration to overcome the bad to lukewarm first impressions.
2- timing. RotB was a year ago, and under-performed by Hasbro and Paramount's standards. It also tended to skew closer to the Bayverse films (without even the benefit of Bay's stylistic flare) then Bumblebee, which had won critics back after TLK. Given everything it may have been preferable to hold off on TFO for a year or even two, just to give people time to want to see Transformers in movie theatres again.
3- timing, again. September wasn't a great month to release it in. It's been gone over before, but kids go back to school in September, meaning there's less time for family and kid-oriented movies.
"What about Beetlejuice Beetlejuice and The Wild Robot?" That's kinda the point? It's not that kids don't see movies during the school year, it's that they have less time to see them. Bettlejuice Beetlejuice got to ride both the Tim Burton rivial train and cash in on thirty-five years worth of nosatlgia with a beloved leading man in a classic role. The Wld Robot was just marketed better than TFO. So if you're a parent and you have a free weekend to take the kids to a movie in busy as heck September when school is starting up...TFO is like... the third option down. Optimistically speaking. Whereas a summer release at the very least sees kids with more free time and thus more oppertunities to hit the theatres.
There IS such a thing as too much of a good thing, franchise fatigue is a real thing.
That's true, and it ties in with my second point.
Only it's more than that. Transformers wishes it could use "too much of a good thing" as an excuse, but it can't. AoE did gangbusters off of a strong China release, but between that cooling off via international relations getting worse and the audience just not finding the quasi-status quo rebot AoE set up appealing.... TLK suffered. Bad. And then Bumblebee, which everyone seemed to agree was a step in the right direction, did worse. And then RotB, which had a complicated reception, did worse then that.
This isn't the MCU where it's just too much good to "eh it's alright" content created a glut and people are tapping out. This is a franchise that, with the one two punch that was AoE and TLK, killed its audience good will and the markedly improved films that came later just haven't won any of that good will back.
And I think it’s worth reiterating that Wild Robot had a REALLY soft opening and has largely succeeded by word of mouth...
Word of mouth for TFO has been mostly positive though, and it hasn't made a difference. People just didn't want to see this movie. I agree with you that the film itself did nothing wrong, and I don't think any one thing doomed it. There were reasons though, and they've been pretty thoroughly combed over.